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                <text>Prediction of Electricity Consumption in Ghana: Long or Short Memory</text>
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                <text>S Twumasi Ankrah, Isaac Ankrah</text>
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                <text>In this study, we explore both univariate and multivariate aspects of time series analysis. In the univariate aspect, we evaluated the predictive performance of three widely used univariate time series methods in forecasting the electricity consumption in Ghana during the 1980–2011 periods. The three univariate time series approaches are autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), autoregressive fractional integrated moving average (ARFIMA) and exponential smoothing. In each approach, we examined competing models and the “best” model according to the minimum information criterion and diagnostic checking was selected. The forecast accuracy measure (ie; mean absolute forecast error, MAFE) was computed for each “best” model in the three different approaches. The empirical results revealed that the MAFE for ARIMA, ARFIMA and exponential smoothing were 31.3%, 9.4% and 41.6% respectively. Thus, the comparative analysis of the forecast performance of these methods clearly concluded that the ARFIMA method gives better forecast in predicting electricity consumption in Ghana. And, in the multivariate aspect, we examined whether GDP, export, import and population influences electricity consumption. The results revealed a feedback causality between electricity consumption and economic growth. Again, we established that there exists an uni-directional influence of import, export, population towards electricity consumption. The “best” model of the univariate approach is ARFIMA (2, 0.31, 1) with MAFE of 9.4% while the “best” model for the multivariate approach is vector error correction model VECM (3) with MAFE of 1.5 …</text>
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                <text>Re-engaging with Europe and the Commonwealth in a Post-Brexit Era</text>
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                <text>Robert Ebo Hinsonn .</text>
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                <text>n this chapter, the discussion revolves around Africa’s engagement with the new Europe in a post-Brexit era – which, like AfCFTA, also became effective on 1 January 2021. The chapter discusses, on a broader level, Europe–Africa relations in the creative industries. Specific examples are drawn from the Commonwealth Agenda, and the France/German/Dutch relations at both the public and private spheres.</text>
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                <text>S Twumasi-Ankrah, JT Ashaolu, Isaac Ankrah</text>
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                <text>This study examines the impact of HIV/AIDS scourge on economic growth of some selected Sub-Sahara African countries. The three sub-Sahara African regions (Southern, West and Eastern) are categorized into lowest and highest HIV prevalence rate, using the global report of the UNAIDS 2012 data. In each region, the lowest and the highest HIV prevalence rate countries are selected respectively. Thus, we consider a panel of three countries in each category over a period from 1995–2012. We used these data to estimate the cross-country level regressions of these two categories, using panel data models. Thus, our results are in twofold: For lowest HIV prevalence rate category, the pooled OLS model was the “best” model. This pooled OLS model indicated that, for one unit increase in HIV prevalence rate, the gross domestic product per capita of countries is expected to decrease by US $23.46, holding all other variables constant. Again for highest HIV prevalence rate category, the fixed effect model was the “best” model. The fixed effect model revealed that, one unit increase in HIV prevalence rate will cause the gross domestic product per capita of countries to decrease by US $9.98, holding all other variables constant. Generally, for a unit increase in HIV prevalence rate, the impact of HIV on the economy is two-thirds larger in lowest HIV prevalence rate countries than that of the highest HIV prevalence rate countries.</text>
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                <text>Country Level Case Studies</text>
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                <text>This chapter provides insights into country-level case studies on the creative sub-sectors such as the Domestic Tourism Development Strategy in Nigeria and the Year of the Return initiative in Ghana – showcasing architectural feats and innovative cultural artefacts. This chapter also features Burkina Faso (film), Djibouti (Animation and sustainable tourism), Kenya (animation and Arts), Nigeria (photography, film), Ghana, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe.&#13;
&#13;
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                <text>The Legal Landscape and Challenges</text>
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                <text>The main purpose of this chapter is to interrogate the regulatory environment in Africa by exploring trends and developments within key intellectual property rights agencies and highlighting some of the challenges revolving around contracts enforcement and royalty payments. In many developing countries, the performance and competitiveness of the creative industries have suffered from weak institutional capacity and a spate of copyrights infringement. This chapter highlights a few case illustrations drawing upon the World Intellectual Property Organisation surveys covering a selection of African countries between 2011 and 2020.</text>
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                <text>https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/978-1-80071-302-420211006/full/html?trk=public_post_comment-text</text>
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                <text>Modeling ICT adoption and electricity consumption in emerging digital economies: Insights from the West African Region</text>
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                <text>Isaac Ankrah, Michael Appiah Kubi, Sampson Twumasi-Ankrah, Frank Gyimah Sackey, Richard Asravor, Brenya Boahemaa, Derrick Donkor, Lilian Arthur, Christopher Lamptey, Eric Ekobor-Ackah Mochiah</text>
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                <text>This study investigates the impact of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) on electricity consumption in West Africa, employing a dynamic panel data model. The results show a significant long-term positive effect of ICT adoption on electricity consumption. Notably, internet connections increase the demand for electricity, with estimates ranging from 13.4 % to 19.3 %. While mobile phone subscriptions demonstrate modest positive effect of 6.85 %, personal computer ownership appears to have a negligible impact.&#13;
The study contributes to the existing literature by offering a detailed examination of the distinct effects of different ICT components on electricity consumption, incorporating a novel estimation approach and sensitivity analyses that account for the COVID-19 pandemic and the Anglo-French linguistic divide. What's more, the analysis constitutes an initial effort in the examining both short-term and …</text>
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                <text>https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;user=qSyX_i8AAAAJ&amp;amp;citation_for_view=qSyX_i8AAAAJ:_FxGoFyzp5QC</text>
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                <text>The African Creative Industry in a Free Trade Area</text>
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                <text>This chapter discusses some of the internationalisation (e.g. mergers and acquisitions, networks and strategic alliances) of household names into Africa – especially in the aftermath two simultaneous events – that is, the African Continental Free Trade Area and British exit from the European Union (Brexit) with or without a trade deal. This chapter also touches upon the need for inter-functional integration in driving forward Africa’s creative industries – notably the intersections between entrepreneurship and innovation within which business models in digital publishing and software development, as well as localisation of animation and games in Africa have been seen.</text>
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                <text>Towards a cleaner energy system: estimating the odds of transitioning to an energy-efficient state</text>
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                <text>Isaac Ankrah, Frank Gyimah Sackey, Sampson Twumasi-Ankrah</text>
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                <text>At the heart of the global transition to cleaner energy systems is also an inherent mandate of ensuring a transition to an energy-efficient economy. This study applies a two-regime Markov switching dynamic model to examine the possibility of transitioning to an energy-efficient state, using Ghana as the subject of analysis. Since changes in energy intensity do not necessarily suggest improvements in energy efficiency, the study controls for the effect of income, trade, and energy price. The results show that Ghana has a higher chance of transitioning to an energy-efficient state but a relatively lower possibility for such efficiency to persist. What's more, it would take 1.2 y for the said efficiency to persist. The study recommends a broad policy overhaul targeting institutional restructuring, energy financing, and regulatory efficiency as means to facilitate the prospects of transitioning and improving energy efficiency persistence.</text>
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                <text>This chapter offers some reflections on the use of social media public sector organisations in Africa. The first part proposes some social media use strategies that can guide the use of the technologies to achieve intended objectives. The chapter recommends that governments must develop a social media policy for public sector organisations to use as a guide. The use of social media to attain communication objectives and enhance political participation are also proposed. The chapter recommends that social media platforms can be used to promote the delivery of e-government services in Africa. The last part of the chapter provides some tips for using social media proposed by Kaplan to enhance the effectiveness of using the technology by public sector organisations in Africa.</text>
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                <text>https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-22642-7_7</text>
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                <text>Is energy transition possible for oil-producing nations? Probing the case of a developing economy</text>
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                <text>Isaac Ankrah, Kingsley Dogah, Sampson Twumasi-Ankrah, Frank Gyimah Sackey, Richard Asravor, Derrick Ofori Donkor, Christopher Lamptey, Lilian Arthur</text>
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                <text>An expected decline in oil revenue and a complicated global energy market present significant concerns about oil-producing countries’ intentions to move away from fossil fuels. Understanding the dynamics of these concerns, particularly in light of potential energy transitions, is crucial for future energy supply and sustainable energy discussion. Given the scarcity of research on the issue, this study examined whether an implied shift from fossil fuels to a cleaner energy state is possible for Ghana, a small oil-producing economy in sub-Saharan Africa. A two-state Markov Switching Model (MSM) was applied to a dataset covering 1980–2019. Results based on a multivariate state-dependent regression technique were documented as follows: First, the probability of transitioning from a nonrenewable energy state to a renewable energy state is 76.5%. Second, there is 80.2% chance of remaining in a renewable energy …</text>
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                <text>http://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&amp;amp;hl=en&amp;amp;user=qSyX_i8AAAAJ&amp;amp;citation_for_view=qSyX_i8AAAAJ:Tyk-4Ss8FVUC</text>
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